Hot Earth Dreams: What if severe climate change happens, and humans survive?, by Frank Landis
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Hot Earth Dreams: What if severe climate change happens, and humans survive?, by Frank Landis
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What will the Earth look like if severe climate change happens, and humans survive? It is not an easy question to contemplate, let alone answer. If severe climate change happens, the Earth will continue to warm for centuries after we've exhausted our fossil fuels. Civilization will shatter, the great artworks and monuments vanishing as cities fall into rubble and coasts disappear beneath rising seas. There will be a mass extinction, coral reefs and ice sheets will disappear, and the survivors will migrate to new homes and habitats for generations as the climate continually changes. Only after hundreds of thousands of years will the climate to return to what we currently consider as normal. Right now, this is our most likely future. Scary as it sounds at first, it is a future that is very much worth exploring. It's crazy, then horrible, then tough, and then increasingly strange. This clear-eyed overview weaves together the latest scientific research on climate change, mass extinction, collapse, and evolution, to describe a deep future that is ever-changing but very knowable. Want to explore it? This is your sourcebook. It is not an easy question to contemplate, let alone answer. If severe climate change happens, the Earth will continue to warm for centuries after we've exhausted our fossil fuels. Civilization will shatter, the great artworks and monuments vanishing as cities fall into rubble and coasts disappear beneath rising seas. There will be a mass extinction, coral reefs and ice sheets will disappear, and the survivors will migrate to new homes and habitats for generations as the climate continually changes. Only after hundreds of thousands of years will the climate to return to what we currently consider as normal. Right now, this is our most likely future. Scary as it sounds at first, it is a future that is very much worth exploring. It's crazy, then horrible, then tough, and then increasingly strange. This clear-eyed overview weaves together the latest scientific research on climate change, mass extinction, collapse, and evolution, to describe a deep future that is ever-changing but very knowable. Want to explore it? This is your sourcebook.
Hot Earth Dreams: What if severe climate change happens, and humans survive?, by Frank Landis- Amazon Sales Rank: #459473 in eBooks
- Published on: 2015-11-13
- Released on: 2015-11-13
- Format: Kindle eBook
About the Author Frank Landis, PhD is an botanist and ecologist by training. Currently he works in Southern California.
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Most helpful customer reviews
6 of 6 people found the following review helpful. Dr Landis brings together a great deal of information understood by science in a number ... By James Edwards What happens when the Earth's human population reaches 10 Billion and sea level rises by 100 feet?Dr Landis brings together a great deal of information understood by science in a number of disciplines (including astronomy, climate science, sociology, geology, and ecology to name a few) along with a healthy dose of speculation to paint a picture of what future world and humanity might look like in the next 100 years and the next 40,000 years. It is a well written, well referenced and compelling story.
5 of 5 people found the following review helpful. If you just read one book this year, let it be this one By Hugh Owens I want to state at the outset that this is the most important book extant on the subject of climate change. It is certainly one of the four or five most important books I have read in my life and it is a must read for anyone trying to escape the white noise of a civilization approaching stall speed after several hundred years of industrialization made possible by burning the accumulated energy of a few hundred million years of decayed animal and vegetable matter. That burning has had enormous consequence for the planet with an explosion of machines and technology, resource extraction and population growth unimaginable to the people toiling in the fields in a pre fossil fuel era a few hundred years ago. Like all explosions, there are consequences which will follow from the unrestricted burning of oil and gas and coal. That is where Frank Landis steps in with this master work of cause and effect, plausible projection and extrapolation of current trends spinning scenarios which are stunning and disturbing. Unique to his book are timelines of what our future world could look like in the near future. Landis maps this future as beginning when the world has shot its carbon emissions wad sometime in the next 50-100 years and continuing for the next 400,000 years. The early portion of that period beginning roughly at the turn of the next century he calls the High Altithermal which will cover about1500 years. The last 398,5000 years he calls the Deep Altithermal period. The High Altithermal is the period during which the earth continuously warms at about 1 degree C every 40 years peaking at about 5 to 8 deg C in the next 200-300 years. This will be a time of great meteorological change which includes sea level rise brought about by melting of the Greenland and the West Antarctic and East Antarctic ice sheets. The key figures to remember are how many tons of carbon has been emitted to date and how many more will be emitted in the next 100 years. We have emitted 370-600 Gigatons of carbon in all our history since we climbed out of the trees onto an African savanna. Giga- = billion. Since 1970 we have emitted twice as much carbon into the atmosphere as we did in all human history prior to 1970. If we continue to emit business as usual(8-10 GtC/yr), we are on track to emit anywhere from 1000 to 1400 GtC(giga-tons of carbon) by the time we are through by the end of this century. This emission will be matched or exceeded by other sources of carbon such as methane clathrates and methane hydrates being released in a thawing Arctic. The reader must keep in mind that Landis is offering possible scenarios and timelines all based upon the work of climate scientists using models constructed since the advent of computers. The real value of his book is his broad encompassing eclectic approach to all the features of a warming world beyond climatic and meteorological change. For example how will all organisms and populations and nations adapt to these sudden changes? How will language change? What empires will rise or fall? Will this period we call the anthropocene of evolved humankind cease to exist? What will happen to our economic, social and political structures? What civilizations who have risen and fallen before can contribute to the argument. Additionally Frank Landis has many chapters on how we humans perceive such a discounted future by clinging to faulty reasoning such as binary thinking, by focusing upon aRevelations style Apocalypse and wishful thinking where Technology will save us. THEY will think of something, right???? Implicit in his book is a tacit assumption that we are dealing with a collapse of world civilization and a massive die off at some point in the not too distant future. Landis tiptoes around this subject and rarely spins dramatic Mad Max cinematic visions. Only rarely does he get explicit of what might happen and how bad it could be. Is there a reason to hold IPCC conferences to respond to climate change or is the warming future already baked into the cake? He is a little more daring in his excellent blog: heteromeles.com. In a recent post he imagined what his home state of California might look like at the end of this century. For example he gives the current population of California(39 million) and estimated population in 2050(52 million) and assumes a 95% die-off by the end of the century taking it to 2.6 million which is still ten times the population before the white man arrived. His statics are cold and dry and he eschews delving into what a 95% die-off would look like, what human suffering it would involve. Whew! Landis structures the book in a unique fashion keeping chapters short as he jumps from subject to subject. It makes for a book which is read chapter by chapter and can be put down without the reader losing his thread. After all, this is not a CJ Box thriller. The book suffers at times from errors of fact and spelling and syntax and it could use a good edit. Some of the terms he uses such as Terafart referring to a Trillion tons of Carbon is jarring to this reader as well as use of street slang like “…this sucks…” and similar expressions mars what is an otherwise extremely well reasoned and highly readable sentence and paragraph structure. He can be humorous and witty as he lays out a really apocalyptic future. His book is detailed and scientific and well annotated with an extensive bibliography. I do feel that he could add more facets to his diamond such as how and why and if these die-offs are inevitable and how they might look. He also needs a chapter or two on the physics of energy and how it relates to fossil based food, goods and service production and how or if so called renewable energy might mitigate his scenarios. This copy is a published on demand book which needs a big name publishing house to take over production and distribution to get it the audience it deserves. Hot Earth Dreams 1.0 is an amazing effort and this reader is looking forward to version 2.0 .
1 of 1 people found the following review helpful. Everything you need to know about climate change and the 6th great extinction in 42 chapters By nativewater If you think that global warming is a hoax, this book is not for you. But if you think that global warming is for real and you're interested in how that will play out, then by all means read this book. The author, Frank Landis is an ecologist and so he approaches the question of global warming from the viewpoint of the earth as a whole rather than just from a specific vantage point such as economy or botany or biology or climatology or geology. Climate change has impacts all round. No living thing is immune.The book is composed of 42 chapters most of which could work more or less as standalone essays. Each chapter addresses a particular topic related to global warming such as mass extinction of species, the causes of ice ages and the causes of the warm periods between ice ages, former hot periods on the earth and what they looked like and on and on.Unlike Guy McPherson who goes around telling people that climate change will cause human extinction in a few decades the author of this book is sufficiently optimistic to ask the question, what if humans survive. What will happen to human populations, what will happen to civilization, etc.If you're looking for hard predictions about when and where climate change disasters will happen, this is not the book for you. Rather than hammering home a particular scenario, Landis lays out all the evidence and more or less lets you draw your own conclusions about what the future will bring.If you're looking for some narrative theme to tie all the various chapters of this book together, you won't find it. I suggest you go straight to chapter 39, Multitrack History. Here the author lays out his basic approach which is to feed you all the pieces of a mosaic which you are then able to assemble for yourself into the picture of your choosing. So that explains the nature of the book. It's build your own future thought kit with all the pieces you need to work it out.If you want to get a flavor of what Landis's ideas look like and what his writing style is like, go to his blog, heteromeles.com where among other things, he has a 46 page excerpt from his book.As one of the other reviews already pointed out, this book is short on predicting what the next few decades, the ones we're going to be alive in will look like. If you're looking for predictions about when lower Manhattan will be under six feet of water and the specifics of flooding related migrations you won't find them here. You'll have to come up with that kind of speculation on your own. As a matter of fact, predictions in this book are mostly of the long range type, like when max temp from the current CO2 release fiesta will occur and how long it will take for the earth to reabsorb all that CO2 and how long the sixth great extinction will take to do its species cleansing and how long it will take evolutionary processes to reestablish the kind of species diversity we had until a few hundred years ago (answer 10,000,000 years). So, yeah, you and I will not be around anymore when most of the stuff predicted by this book will happen or not happen. And if you want to write your own scifi scenario of the future to put some human interest to it, this book will give you all the technical raw material you need.In conclusion, I do recommend this book for all the good info it contains, info you would otherwise have to drag out of a lot of other books many of which are probably too boring or technical for the general reader interested in the mechanics of climate change and species extinction.
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